An economic survey of about 190
manufacturing plants within the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank region that
examines conditions in the manufacturing industry. The Richmond region is the
Fifth Federal Reserve District, which includes Washington, D.C., Maryland,
North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, and most of West Virginia. The report
is released about one week after the beginning of a new month and after the
national Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Index is released. The index’s
changes in shipments are indicators of current conditions. Changes in the
prices of raw or finished goods give an indication of pricing trends. Expected
shipments, backlogs, and new orders are indicators of future conditions.
Because the report is published a short time after the data is collected, it is
very useful for getting a quick snapshot of economic conditions. However, the
long-term effect of the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey on financial markets
is usually limited.
There are four indexes
that comprise the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey. Those are: shipments, new
orders, backlog of new orders, and six-month shipment outlook. The indexes can
range from +100 to –100 and indicate the general direction of the indicators by
showing how the number of plants with improving conditions offset those with
worsening conditions. Index values greater than zero suggest expansion, while
values less than zero indicate a contraction. Data values are seasonally
adjusted.