A U.S. hedge fund that became a household name
when it collapsed in the fall of 1998. The hedge fund wrongly bet that interest
rates would rise. Instead, in August 1998 Russia devalued its ruble and
defaulted on some of its debt, which produced a worldwide flight to the safety
of the U.S. Treasury bond. As buyers flooded into the market, bond prices
increased and interest rates decreased. At the same time, large investors sold
risky debt instruments, further depressing prices. Both of those actions were
directly counter to Long-Term Capital’s expectations. The hedge fund was
founded by two men. John Meriwether was a pioneer of fixed-income arbitrage
trading at Salomon Brothers, and was prominently featured in the book, Liar’s Poker. Meriwether was caught in
Salomon’s government bond trading scandal in 1991. The other founder was David
W. Mullins, Jr., who previously had been named an assistant Treasury secretary
in 1988 and afterwards was named vice chairman of the Federal Reserve Board.
The fund also had two partners who were Nobel Prize-
winning economists: Myron Scholes and Robert Merton. They won a Nobel Prize for
Economics in 1997 for their work on the Black-Scholes options pricing formula.
After the events that
devalued the Long-Term Capital Management LP, government officials and the
Federal Reserve Bank of New York arranged for a large group of financial
institutions to invest $3.5 billion in the fund in order to prevent its losses
crippling the financial system. Treasury officials from around the world,
however, were afraid that the turmoil would lead to a credit crunch, and as a
result many major industrial countries lowered interest rates in a concerted
action. In the U.S., the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates three times
during the fall of 1998, something that the Fed rarely does with such
frequency. One of those reductions even occurred between meetings, which is
very uncommon.