business cycle investment & finance definition
A
long-term pattern of improvements and downturns in the economy. A business
cycle typically has four stages: expansion, prosperity, contraction, and
recession. Eventually a recession will be followed by expansion. A business
cycle typically is tracked by looking at gross domestic product data.
Employment levels, retail sales, and industrial productivity are some of the
other economic indicators that show whether a business cycle is shifting from
one stage to another. Business cycles may also be used in reference to an
industry or company.
See business cycle in Wall Street Words
The somewhat irregular but recurring periods of change in economic activity over time. A business cycle is generally divided into four stages: expansion, prosperity, contraction, and recession. The stage in which an economy operates has a significant impact on a firm's profitability and prospects. This impact is especially severe with respect to firms that experience large swings in sales and profits. Many analysts believe stock prices tend to lead the business cycle. Therefore, it is felt that bull markets begin before a period of expansion and that bear markets begin before a period of contraction.
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